BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 118 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 139.35
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Away L 119.38 6 34 1A 105 ( 4- 8) North Carolina St -22.52 -5.48
2 09/07/2019 Home W 148.65 48 9 1B 107 ( 3- 9) Gardner-Webb 6.75 * 32.25
3 09/14/2019 Away L * 140.42 10 42 1A 24 ( 11- 2) Navy -1.48 -30.52
4 09/21/2019 Home W 144.97 19 7 1B 38 ( 5- 7) William & Mary 3.07 8.93
5 09/28/2019 Away W 138.86 24 21 1A 124 ( 1- 11) Old Dominion -3.03 6.03
6 10/03/2019 Home L * 140.42 17 27 1A 82 ( 8- 5) Temple -1.48 -8.52
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 160.60 28 41 1A 19 ( 10- 3) Central Florida 18.71 * -31.71
8 10/26/2019 Home L * 121.13 20 45 1A 96 ( 4- 8) South Florida -20.77 -4.23
9 11/02/2019 Home L * 161.84 43 46 1A 31 ( 11- 3) Cincinnati 19.94 -22.94
10 11/09/2019 Away L * 157.90 51 59 1A 41 ( 10- 3) SMU 16.00 -24.00
11 11/23/2019 Away W * 138.67 31 24 1A 126 ( 2- 10) Connecticut -3.23 10.23
12 11/30/2019 Home L * 129.93 24 49 1A 65 ( 4- 8) Tulsa -11.97 -13.03
Averages 141.90 26.8 33.7
Best game: 161.84 = 3 point loss to Cincinnati
Worst game: 119.38 = 28 point loss to North Carolina St
Team stdev: 14.03